Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.4% vs 56.7%). Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kesler wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Bozak 56.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 78.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 60.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Kesler
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Kesler
Bozak
Last 10: Kesler 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Kesler
Bozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
0
Kesler
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,225)
56.5% (1,119)
+1.1%
Power Play
63.5% (263)
58.4% (226)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (305)
50.0% (20)
+1.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kesler is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (575).
Kesler shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Kesler
Bozak
Home
59.1% (881)
60.1% (682)
Away
55.7% (912)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Kesler
Bozak
P1
56.6%
57.7%
P2
58.2%
53.7%
P3
57.5%
59.0%
OT
53.6%
55.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |