Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Kesler wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Johnson 51.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 67.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 88.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 88.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Kesler
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kesler
Johnson
Last 8: Kesler 6-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kesler
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,225)
51.2% (825)
+6.4%
Power Play
63.5% (263)
56.9% (160)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (305)
51.1% (137)
+0.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kesler is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (575).
Kesler shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Kesler
Johnson
Home
59.1% (881)
56.9% (583)
Away
55.7% (912)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Kesler
Johnson
P1
56.6%
55.1%
P2
58.2%
53.0%
P3
57.5%
48.8%
OT
53.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |