Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.2% vs Johnson 48.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 81.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 53.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 64.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Kesler
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kesler
Johnson
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kesler
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kesler
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Kesler
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (741)
49.4% (399)
+6.3%
Power Play
67.0% (100)
52.9% (34)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (204)
37.5% (40)
+12.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kesler is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Kesler shoots right. Johnson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Kesler
Johnson
Home
52.5% (522)
49.8% (229)
Away
58.9% (523)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Kesler
Johnson
P1
56.7%
45.0%
P2
56.8%
49.1%
P3
54.1%
50.3%
OT
16.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |