Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kesler wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Seguin 50.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 85.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 81.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Kesler
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kesler
Seguin
Last 9: Kesler 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kesler
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
1
Kesler
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,225)
51.1% (720)
+6.5%
Power Play
63.5% (263)
54.2% (59)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (305)
14.3% (7)
+37.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kesler is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (575).
Kesler shoots right. Seguin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Kesler
Seguin
Home
59.1% (881)
52.0% (421)
Away
55.7% (912)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Kesler
Seguin
P1
56.6%
50.8%
P2
58.2%
51.3%
P3
57.5%
51.0%
OT
53.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |