Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kesler wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 53.3% vs Filppula 51.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 72.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 61.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Kesler
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kesler
Filppula
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Filppula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Filppula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
1
Kesler
Filppula
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (981)
50.4% (260)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.9% (160)
52.4% (84)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (185)
65.2% (23)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Filppula has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Kesler shoots right. Filppula is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Kesler
Filppula
Home
54.1% (690)
51.1% (227)
Away
53.1% (661)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Kesler
Filppula
P1
52.3%
48.9%
P2
52.8%
51.9%
P3
56.3%
52.4%
OT
44.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
58.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |