Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Rask 50.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 30-14 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 86.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 97.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 93.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Kesler
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
14
(44 meetings)
30
14
Kesler
Rask
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
5
Kesler
Rask
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
0
Kesler
Rask
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
10
9
Kesler
Rask
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
50.0% (4,428)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
54.3% (363)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
35.2% (54)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Kesler
Rask
Home
57.2% (5,732)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Kesler
Rask
P1
56.5%
50.7%
P2
55.9%
48.9%
P3
56.1%
50.7%
OT
46.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Victor Rask |