Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kesler wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 58.0% vs Rask 51.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 93.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 75.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Kesler
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Kesler
Rask
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
0
Kesler
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
0
Kesler
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Kesler
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,138)
51.7% (862)
+6.9%
Power Play
64.5% (186)
45.3% (64)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (351)
44.4% (9)
+10.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Kesler shoots right. Rask is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Kesler
Rask
Home
61.0% (859)
53.6% (466)
Away
55.9% (816)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Kesler
Rask
P1
59.1%
52.4%
P2
56.5%
50.5%
P3
60.5%
50.8%
OT
44.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
61.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |