Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Kesler wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.2% vs Rask 47.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 54.6%
Defensive zone
Kesler 90.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 82.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Kesler
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kesler
Rask
Last 5: Kesler 4-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (741)
46.6% (397)
+9.1%
Power Play
67.0% (100)
58.1% (31)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (204)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Kesler shoots right. Rask is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Kesler
Rask
Home
52.5% (522)
50.0% (202)
Away
58.9% (523)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Kesler
Rask
P1
56.7%
51.1%
P2
56.8%
43.2%
P3
54.1%
48.5%
Final 5 min
54.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |