Ryan Kesler vs Vincent Lecavalier
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 53.3% vs Lecavalier 48.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 69.5%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 71.7%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Kesler
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kesler
Lecavalier
Last 5: Kesler 1-4 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
3
Kesler
Lecavalier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Lecavalier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (981)
47.7% (897)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.9% (160)
51.1% (227)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (185)
34.8% (23)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Kesler shoots right. Lecavalier is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Kesler
Lecavalier
Home
54.1% (690)
51.5% (538)
Away
53.1% (661)
44.7% (624)
By Period
Kesler
Lecavalier
P1
52.3%
48.3%
P2
52.8%
50.4%
P3
56.3%
44.3%
OT
44.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | OT | 04:07 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |