Ryan Kesler vs Vladimir Sobotka
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.0%). Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Sobotka 55.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 26-11 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 59.9%
Defensive zone
Kesler 60.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 61.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Kesler
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
11
(37 meetings)
26
11
Kesler
Sobotka
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
4
Kesler
Sobotka
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
5
Kesler
Sobotka
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
2
Kesler
Sobotka
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
56.9% (2,613)
-0.5%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
57.0% (223)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
50.6% (447)
-0.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Sobotka is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Kesler
Sobotka
Home
57.2% (5,732)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Kesler
Sobotka
P1
56.5%
56.2%
P2
55.9%
56.3%
P3
56.1%
55.3%
OT
46.0%
61.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 16, 2013 | OT | 02:16 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |