Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 52.5% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 72.2%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 72.5%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 71.2%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Kesler
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kesler
Sobotka
Last 5: Kesler 3-2 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
1
Kesler
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Kesler
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,005)
62.0% (637)
-8.2%
Power Play
56.6% (205)
62.6% (91)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
60.0% (85)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Kesler shoots right. Sobotka is 68.1% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Kesler
Sobotka
Home
54.1% (719)
65.8% (371)
Away
51.1% (687)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Kesler
Sobotka
P1
53.1%
63.0%
P2
54.5%
61.4%
P3
50.3%
60.7%
OT
47.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |