Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Acton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Acton 50.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acton 53.5%
Defensive zone
Acton 56.6%
Neutral zone
Acton 57.3%
Result
Will Acton favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Kesler
Acton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kesler
Acton
Last 6: Kesler 2-4 Acton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
1
Kesler
Acton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acton
0
2
Kesler
Acton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acton
0
1
Kesler
Acton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Acton
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
51.3% (154)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
0.0% (1)
+60.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
47.9% (48)
+2.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +60.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acton shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Acton is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Kesler
Acton
Home
57.2% (5,732)
57.9% (107)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
41.7% (96)
By Period
Kesler
Acton
P1
56.5%
48.6%
P2
55.9%
44.7%
P3
56.1%
60.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Acton
54.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |