Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 52.5% vs Acton 50.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acton 50.8%
Defensive zone
Acton 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.7%
Result
Will Acton favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Kesler
Acton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kesler
Acton
Last 6: Kesler 2-4 Acton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
1
Kesler
Acton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acton
0
2
Kesler
Acton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acton
0
1
Kesler
Acton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Acton
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,005)
51.4% (148)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.6% (205)
0.0% (1)
+56.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
47.8% (46)
-5.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acton shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Kesler shoots right. Acton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Kesler
Acton
Home
54.1% (719)
57.9% (107)
Away
51.1% (687)
40.9% (88)
By Period
Kesler
Acton
P1
53.1%
47.9%
P2
54.5%
45.2%
P3
50.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Acton
54.0%▲
50.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Will Acton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |