Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 46.6% vs Couturier 53.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 68.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
McLeod
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
McLeod
Couturier
Last 10: McLeod 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
McLeod
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
McLeod
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
McLeod
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (587)
52.6% (624)
-4.4%
Power Play
49.3% (67)
66.7% (66)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (210)
53.2% (188)
-13.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McLeod is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (545).
McLeod shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
McLeod
Couturier
Home
47.3% (450)
50.7% (424)
Away
44.9% (414)
56.6% (454)
By Period
McLeod
Couturier
P1
52.6%
55.5%
P2
43.3%
51.7%
P3
43.6%
55.2%
OT
30.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.2%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |