Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.6% vs Graovac 47.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 61.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.9%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
McLeod
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McLeod
Graovac
Last 6: McLeod 3-3 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Graovac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Graovac
2
3
McLeod
Graovac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,345)
46.5% (497)
+3.9%
Power Play
51.0% (292)
50.0% (4)
+1.0%
On even strength, McLeod has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
McLeod shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
McLeod
Graovac
Home
50.2% (2,158)
47.6% (233)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
45.5% (268)
By Period
McLeod
Graovac
P1
50.8%
41.7%
P2
48.4%
47.4%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |