Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.3% vs Graovac 47.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.8%
Defensive zone
Graovac 50.2%
Neutral zone
Graovac 50.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
McLeod
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McLeod
Graovac
Last 6: McLeod 3-3 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Graovac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Graovac
2
3
McLeod
Graovac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (69)
45.1% (91)
+7.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
On power play, Graovac has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. McLeod is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (53).
McLeod shoots left. Graovac is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
McLeod
Graovac
Home
42.4% (33)
46.2% (39)
Away
56.3% (48)
45.3% (53)
By Period
McLeod
Graovac
P1
38.1%
39.3%
P2
52.8%
51.4%
P3
58.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.6%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |