Alex Tanguay vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tanguay on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tanguay wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tanguay 43.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Tanguay 4-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tanguay
3
1
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (122)
39.8% (508)
+0.4%
Power Play
29.2% (24)
60.5% (38)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
20.0% (5)
+24.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Tanguay is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Tanguay shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
41.6% (101)
42.6% (237)
Away
36.1% (72)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Tanguay
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.9%
33.3%
P2
36.5%
45.1%
P3
34.8%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tanguay
44.0%▲
40.0%
39.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Alex Tanguay |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Alex Tanguay |