Bryan Little vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Little 1-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
43.2% (695)
+7.4%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
53.8% (104)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
54.2% (24)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Little is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Little shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.6% (628)
48.2% (465)
Away
51.0% (686)
40.5% (358)
By Period
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.0%
40.8%
P2
49.3%
41.3%
P3
53.0%
52.1%
OT
38.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |