Bryan Little vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Little wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 59.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.9%
Neutral zone
Little 51.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Little 4-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
3
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (87)
52.1% (351)
-6.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
57.1% (14)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
35.9% (39)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Little is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Little shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.0% (48)
50.0% (198)
Away
41.4% (58)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
42.1%
52.1%
P2
42.4%
48.8%
P3
50.0%
50.4%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2019 | OT | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 20, 2019 | OT | 04:34 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2019 | OT | 02:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |