Casey Cizikas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 64.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 96.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 90.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
5
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
12
3
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
44.9% (8,756)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
50.7% (839)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
37.9% (879)
+6.5%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.7% (5,498)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Cizikas
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.0%
45.1%
P2
51.1%
43.9%
P3
51.7%
45.3%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |