Derek Grant vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Grant 1-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
4
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
46.5% (690)
+8.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
41.7% (12)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
38.4% (138)
+6.1%
On power play, Grant has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Grant shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.6% (222)
47.7% (405)
Away
51.9% (293)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Grant
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.5%
49.4%
P2
54.3%
43.0%
P3
55.0%
43.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |