Evgeni Malkin vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Malkin 5-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
44.3% (1,117)
-1.2%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
52.4% (208)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
51.6% (31)
-34.9%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Malkin shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.6% (338)
47.6% (655)
Away
42.7% (417)
43.9% (701)
By Period
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.9%
43.9%
P2
45.3%
46.8%
P3
42.0%
47.0%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |