Jay Beagle vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 53.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 89.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 82.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Beagle 6-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
46.5% (690)
+11.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
41.7% (12)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
38.4% (138)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Beagle shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.2% (378)
47.7% (405)
Away
54.2% (380)
42.8% (435)
By Period
Beagle
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.8%
49.4%
P2
51.9%
43.0%
P3
58.1%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |