Kyle Brodziak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 55.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 90.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 69.7%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Brodziak 7-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (461)
43.2% (695)
+8.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.8% (104)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (88)
54.2% (24)
-13.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Brodziak shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.8% (277)
48.2% (465)
Away
53.0% (279)
40.5% (358)
By Period
Brodziak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
40.8%
P2
48.8%
41.3%
P3
49.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |