Nico Hischier vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hischier wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Hischier 1-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
5
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
47.6% (231)
+7.4%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
83.3% (12)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
33.3% (21)
+10.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Hischier shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.5% (763)
51.2% (164)
Away
54.0% (745)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.0%
50.0%
P2
57.6%
46.2%
P3
53.0%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |