Roman Horak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Roman Horak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horak wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Horak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.6%
Defensive zone
Horak 68.5%
Neutral zone
Horak 56.3%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Horak 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
2
1
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horak
2
1
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (399)
37.1% (566)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
54.5% (22)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Horak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
40.5% (227)
37.5% (312)
Away
42.5% (214)
37.5% (293)
By Period
Horak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
42.3%
35.4%
P2
40.5%
37.8%
P3
41.5%
39.9%
Final 5 min
41.9%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Roman Horak |