Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Saku Koivu
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Koivu 51.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 30-23 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
30
(53 meetings)
23
30
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
8
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
8
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
11
15
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
51.9% (3,221)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
59.3% (437)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
48.0% (764)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Home
46.5% (5,350)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
P1
45.1%
51.1%
P2
43.9%
52.6%
P3
45.3%
51.8%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |