Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Saku Koivu
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 36.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% vs Koivu 52.2% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 83.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (566)
52.2% (805)
-15.1%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
59.9% (152)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.0% (239)
-9.0%
On even strength, Koivu has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
Home
37.5% (312)
54.0% (639)
Away
37.5% (293)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Koivu
P1
35.4%
52.7%
P2
37.8%
50.4%
P3
39.9%
54.1%
OT
28.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | OT | 00:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |