Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Samuel Pahlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 90.5%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 59.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.0%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 2-6 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
53.0% (1,716)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
60.0% (35)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
49.8% (548)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Home
46.4% (5,318)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
P1
45.1%
54.6%
P2
43.8%
50.7%
P3
45.2%
51.8%
OT
43.5%
44.8%
Final 5 min
43.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |