Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Samuel Pahlsson
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 36.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 94.8%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 61.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.4%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 2-6 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (566)
54.3% (782)
-17.2%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
62.5% (16)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.8% (216)
-5.8%
On even strength, Pahlsson has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pahlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
Home
37.5% (312)
51.8% (508)
Away
37.5% (293)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Pahlsson
P1
35.4%
52.8%
P2
37.8%
52.1%
P3
39.9%
53.0%
OT
28.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
37.5%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |