Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sergey Kalinin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.1%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 52.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 3-2 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
41.9% (453)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
33.3% (18)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
40.0% (25)
-2.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Home
46.4% (5,318)
42.8% (285)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
P1
45.1%
43.8%
P2
43.8%
40.6%
P3
45.2%
40.1%
Final 5 min
43.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |