Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sergey Kalinin
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% vs Kalinin 44.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.3%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 51.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 3-2 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,011)
41.3% (155)
+3.7%
Power Play
46.7% (135)
100.0% (1)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (122)
38.9% (18)
-7.8%
On power play, Kalinin has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kalinin is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
Home
43.8% (625)
42.9% (112)
Away
43.9% (643)
38.7% (62)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Kalinin
P1
47.8%
51.8%
P2
39.5%
32.1%
P3
44.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |