Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Shawn Matthias
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 44.9%). Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% vs Matthias 46.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.5%
Defensive zone
Matthias 73.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 2-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (1,117)
47.2% (142)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
100.0% (2)
-47.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
34.9% (43)
+16.7%
On power play, Matthias has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Matthias is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Home
47.6% (655)
45.6% (57)
Away
43.9% (701)
44.6% (130)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
P1
43.9%
54.3%
P2
46.8%
40.0%
P3
47.0%
40.0%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |