Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steve Ott
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Ott 55.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 75.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
57.2% (2,802)
-12.3%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
55.4% (567)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
49.9% (853)
-12.1%
On even strength, Ott has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
Home
46.4% (5,318)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Ott
P1
45.1%
56.7%
P2
43.8%
53.9%
P3
45.2%
55.7%
OT
43.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
43.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Steve Ott |