Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Plekanec
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% vs Plekanec 51.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 78.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 1-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,011)
53.8% (1,081)
-8.8%
Power Play
46.7% (135)
48.6% (70)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (122)
37.8% (201)
-6.7%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Plekanec is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
Home
43.8% (625)
52.3% (725)
Away
43.9% (643)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Plekanec
P1
47.8%
54.6%
P2
39.5%
51.3%
P3
44.2%
47.9%
OT
61.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2017 | OT | 01:11 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |