Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.3%). Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Johnston 48.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 56.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
47.8% (623)
-0.2%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
50.8% (63)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
51.4% (35)
-18.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Home
51.2% (164)
47.6% (351)
Away
43.0% (100)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
46.2%
47.3%
P3
49.5%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |