Scouting Report
Zac Dalpe holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dalpe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dalpe shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 43.0% vs Dalpe 47.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 78.4%
Defensive zone
Dalpe 55.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 2-4 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dalpe
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dalpe
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,054)
45.0% (218)
-2.7%
Power Play
44.6% (195)
66.7% (12)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
0.0% (1)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dalpe is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
Home
45.6% (686)
45.3% (117)
Away
38.7% (594)
46.5% (114)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Dalpe
P1
41.7%
46.7%
P2
46.2%
48.1%
P3
39.3%
42.2%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
42.4%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Zac Dalpe |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Zac Dalpe |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |