Scouting Report
Ryan O'Marra holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Marra on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — O'Marra shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 43.6% vs O'Marra 52.1% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 73.1%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 69.4%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 74.0%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Cogliano
O'Marra
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cogliano
O'Marra
Last 8: Cogliano 2-6 O'Marra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cogliano
O'Marra
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
2
Cogliano
O'Marra
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Marra
0
3
Cogliano
O'Marra
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
O'Marra
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (308)
56.7% (60)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
25.0% (4)
+10.8%
On even strength, O'Marra has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Marra shoots right. Cogliano is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Cogliano shoots left. O'Marra is 69.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Cogliano
O'Marra
Home
50.0% (188)
61.9% (42)
Away
34.3% (198)
43.5% (23)
By Period
Cogliano
O'Marra
P1
44.0%
54.5%
P2
41.3%
57.7%
P3
40.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
42.0%
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |