Scouting Report
Ryan O'Marra holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Marra on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — O'Marra shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 44.2% vs O'Marra 52.1% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 79.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 80.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 79.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Bonino
O'Marra
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Bonino
O'Marra
Last 6: Bonino 0-6 O'Marra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
0
1
Bonino
O'Marra
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
0
3
Bonino
O'Marra
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Marra
0
2
Bonino
O'Marra
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
O'Marra
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (423)
56.7% (60)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
25.0% (4)
-5.0%
On even strength, O'Marra has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Marra shoots right. Bonino is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. O'Marra is 69.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Bonino
O'Marra
Home
44.1% (222)
61.9% (42)
Away
41.8% (232)
43.5% (23)
By Period
Bonino
O'Marra
P1
43.9%
54.5%
P2
43.4%
57.7%
P3
41.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |