Alexander Burmistrov vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Burmistrov wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 43.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Burmistrov 96.1%
Defensive zone
Burmistrov 95.7%
Neutral zone
Burmistrov 95.7%
Result
Alexander Burmistrov favored at 95.9%
95.9%
4.1%
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
Last 10: Burmistrov 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
12
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
4
2
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
7
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (2,299)
56.2% (15,260)
-13.5%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
58.8% (3,445)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (230)
51.4% (2,811)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Burmistrov is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,795).
Burmistrov shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
Home
44.3% (1,431)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
40.9% (1,260)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Burmistrov
O'Reilly
P1
45.1%
55.6%
P2
41.9%
57.0%
P3
41.1%
55.1%
OT
39.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |