Scouting Report
Alexander Steen holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Steen wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 52.8% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Defensive zone
Steen 54.4%
Neutral zone
Steen 52.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Steen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Steen
O'Reilly
Last 5: Steen 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Steen
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Steen
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (70)
52.5% (1,177)
+3.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.6% (130)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
52.8% (108)
-5.4%
On power play, Steen has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Steen is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Steen shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Steen
O'Reilly
Home
56.9% (58)
54.9% (669)
Away
54.1% (37)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Steen
O'Reilly
P1
52.9%
52.4%
P2
47.2%
56.1%
P3
69.6%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
37.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
55.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |