Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Steen wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 50.3% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Steen leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Steen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Steen
O'Reilly
Last 10: Steen 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Steen
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
6
2
Steen
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Steen
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (317)
52.7% (900)
-4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
55.6% (225)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (110)
54.5% (209)
+1.0%
On power play, Steen has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Steen is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Steen shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Steen
O'Reilly
Home
47.2% (176)
55.1% (693)
Away
52.5% (257)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Steen
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
52.1%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
69.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
50.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |