Antoine Vermette vs Ryan O'Reilly
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 75.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 57.0%
Neutral zone
Vermette 63.1%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Vermette
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Vermette
O'Reilly
Last 8: Vermette 7-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
1
Vermette
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
52.7% (900)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
55.6% (225)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
54.5% (209)
-2.1%
On power play, Vermette has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vermette is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vermette shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Vermette
O'Reilly
Home
56.8% (694)
55.1% (693)
Away
54.1% (883)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Vermette
O'Reilly
P1
52.5%
51.5%
P2
56.8%
54.7%
P3
56.7%
52.7%
OT
55.3%
69.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |