Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.8% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 77.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 76.0%
Neutral zone
Boyle 79.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Boyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Boyle
O'Reilly
Last 9: Boyle 2-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Boyle
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Boyle
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (408)
57.9% (1,179)
-6.2%
Power Play
60.3% (68)
63.0% (292)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (105)
53.8% (320)
-5.2%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Boyle shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Boyle
O'Reilly
Home
54.2% (238)
61.3% (884)
Away
50.7% (343)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Boyle
O'Reilly
P1
53.9%
55.5%
P2
52.1%
61.0%
P3
50.7%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |