Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.8% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 63.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 65.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 61.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Boyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyle
O'Reilly
Last 6: Boyle 3-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Boyle
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (157)
57.1% (1,367)
-7.4%
Power Play
57.0% (142)
59.4% (286)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
52.5% (257)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Boyle shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Boyle
O'Reilly
Home
56.1% (148)
59.2% (936)
Away
47.0% (185)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Boyle
O'Reilly
P1
49.5%
57.3%
P2
56.6%
57.5%
P3
47.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.1%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |