Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 37-17 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 91.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 93.8%
Neutral zone
Boyle 90.7%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Boyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
37
(54 meetings)
17
37
Boyle
O'Reilly
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
15
Boyle
O'Reilly
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
11
Boyle
O'Reilly
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
11
Boyle
O'Reilly
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.5%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
58.8% (3,445)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
51.4% (2,811)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Boyle
O'Reilly
Home
52.2% (3,521)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Boyle
O'Reilly
P1
51.3%
55.6%
P2
51.1%
57.0%
P3
50.4%
55.1%
OT
55.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |