Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.8% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Bolland leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Bolland
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Bolland
O'Reilly
Last 10: Bolland 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
4
1
Bolland
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Bolland
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bolland
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (411)
53.6% (392)
-7.1%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
47.2% (36)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
50.0% (28)
+1.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bolland is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Bolland shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Bolland
O'Reilly
Home
51.4% (280)
54.4% (237)
Away
39.9% (238)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Bolland
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
50.3%
P2
41.5%
51.4%
P3
48.3%
55.7%
OT
57.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |