Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.6%
Defensive zone
Belanger 52.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Belanger
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Belanger
O'Reilly
Last 10: Belanger 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Belanger
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Belanger
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Belanger
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
52.5% (1,177)
+4.9%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
54.6% (130)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
52.8% (108)
-3.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Belanger
O'Reilly
Home
55.5% (519)
54.9% (669)
Away
55.1% (488)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Belanger
O'Reilly
P1
53.1%
52.4%
P2
58.0%
56.1%
P3
54.5%
49.8%
OT
63.6%
57.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |