Erik Christensen vs Ryan O'Reilly
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 49.5% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 85.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 69.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Christensen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Christensen
O'Reilly
Last 5: Christensen 4-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
1
Christensen
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (544)
53.4% (770)
-4.9%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
55.6% (54)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.4% (196)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Christensen is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Christensen shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Christensen
O'Reilly
Home
53.1% (305)
53.5% (533)
Away
46.1% (334)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Christensen
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
52.4%
P3
48.1%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |