Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sedin wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 46.8% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 91.9%
Defensive zone
Sedin 68.5%
Neutral zone
Sedin 83.0%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Sedin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Sedin
O'Reilly
Last 7: Sedin 1-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Sedin
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Sedin
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (822)
60.3% (1,517)
-15.2%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
61.5% (387)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
55.0% (220)
-5.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sedin is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (628).
Sedin shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Sedin
O'Reilly
Home
51.2% (475)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
41.8% (467)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Sedin
O'Reilly
P1
47.1%
56.8%
P2
47.1%
64.6%
P3
45.2%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |